COVID-19: Philippines could end up like Italy in 2 months, analysis finds

The coronavirus (COVID-19) situation in the Philippines continues to pose an alarming threat as cases have now reached almost 500 as of March 23, 2020.

And according to an online report stating two experts’ analysis, chances are the Philippines will have to deal with the situation for another two months.

Already in a community quarantine in Metro Manila, the capital region of the country, the Philippines could reach 2,500 cases by mid-April, and even up to 11,000 by June.

This is according to the report’s first research analysis conducted by a scientist from the University of the Philippines Los Banos. Currently, the number of cases are being reported every day in the Philippines exceeds the number of reported recoveries.

My latest #COVID2019 COVID-19 case forecast and reproductive number estimate for the Philippines @mlq3 @czarmedinaguce https://t.co/gV3Ae4qeEq pic.twitter.com/csfHnUdWa0

— Darwin Bandoy DVM PhD (@darwinbandoy) March 16, 2020

A worst-case scenario prediction coming from a second research from the same university suggests that the peak number of cases, meaning the most, will happen somewhere around June.

That means Filipinos might continue to be in the same situation they are right now — quarantined at home to prevent spreading of the virus — until October 2020 to give way for recoveries.